Weak tests of the Dunning-Kruger hypothesis are shown to be confounded.

The Glejser test is argued to be a sound test of the Dunning-Kruger hypothesis.

Nonlinear regression is argued to be a sound test of the Dunning-Kruger hypothesis.

Failed to determine the Dunning-Kruger attain with IQ recordsdata and both glorious tests.


The Dunning-Kruger hypothesis states that the diploma to which americans can estimate their skill precisely is dependent, in phase, upon possessing the skill in search recordsdata from. Consequently, people with decrease ranges of the skill are inclined to self-assess their skill much less neatly than americans which own reasonably elevated ranges of the skill. Essentially the most general contrivance mature to test the Dunning-Kruger hypothesis entails plotting the self-assessed and objectively assessed skill across four categories (quartiles) of device skill. Nonetheless, this contrivance has been argued to be confounded by the easier-than-average attain and regression in direction of the indicate. In this investigation, it is argued that the Dunning-Kruger hypothesis can even be tested validly with two inferential statistical ways: the Glejser test of heteroscedasticity and nonlinear (quadratic) regression. On the premise of a pattern of 929 normal community contributors who carried out a self-evaluation of intelligence and the Developed Raven’s Modern Matrices, we failed to determine statistically important heteroscedasticity, contrary to the Dunning-Kruger hypothesis. Additionally, the affiliation between objectively measured intelligence and self-assessed intelligence become realized to be actually totally linear, all over again, contrary to the Dunning-Kruger hypothesis. It’s concluded that, even even supposing the phenomenon described by the Dunning-Kruger hypothesis might maybe perchance perchance very neatly be to some diploma plausible for some talents, the magnitude of the attain might maybe perchance perchance very neatly be grand smaller than reported beforehand.

Key phrases

Dunning-Kruger attain


Self-assessed intelligence

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